Sunday, March 29, 2020

team hope




Number one thinks in numbers and knows about confirmation bias or how we are all inclined to find information supporting our ideas. It's all out there, whatever you want to find.

But yesterday, for the first time, his spreadsheet entitled "im an idiot" showed a 27% decrease between the actual dead as a result of COVID19 and the projected number of deaths with a spread rate of 1.35 and an incubation to death period of 14 with death rate of 2%. Though people still died, somewhere/somehow in the past 14 days something changed to change the projected number of people losing their life to this thing.

Today I am grateful for the conversations we have.


Also, I want to take this guy's class.

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